| Will Republicans Lose in 2022? This website uses cookies to improve your experience. 2018 ABC News Internet Ventures. Steve Shepard, our chief forecaster, has settled on four core principles U.S. GOVERNORS Forecasting each governorship Solid R 95% R Likely R 75% Lean R 60% Toss-up <60% both Lean D 60% Likely D 75% Solid D 95% D See the governors forecast We're forecasting the. Michigan Has Become Ground Zero in the Fight Over Abortion. Were tracking them all. Frank Luntz breaks down 4 reasons pollsters got midterm predictions wrong Click here to change which version of the model you see. The option to choose a Democratic winner in Utah has been disabled. Utahs independent Senate candidate had said he would not caucus with either party. | Will Republicans Lose Seats? Political Analysis Election Predictions DISCORD SERVER: Choose your winners by selecting the state circles below. Katie Britt (Rep.): 99% chance of winning, Lisa Murkowski (Rep.): 50% chance of winning, Kelly C. Tshibaka (Rep.): 49% chance of winning, John Boozman (Rep.): 99% chance of winning, Blake Maters (Rep.): 36% chance of winning, (Democratic National Convention via USA TODAY NETWORK), Alex Padilla (Dem. Higher bars represent more common outcomes. candidate Michael Bennet, 5:20 amCalifornia was won by Dem. I've collected a few races I think you should keep your eyeon. Fox News projects one of two Republicans will prevail in Alaska's Senate race. Choose . Politics: Midterm Elections 2022 Senate Predictions The option to choose a Democratic winner in Utah has been disabled. Clickme! Javiet Bonilla Forecast the 2022 Senate Elections: Senate What If Voters 2005 Area.Control.Network All rights reserved. Donald Trumps personal midterm scorecard. candidate Charles Schumer, 5:20 amNorth Dakota was won by GOP candidate John Hoeven, 5:20 amMissouri was won by GOP candidate Eric Schmitt, 5:20 amMaryland was won by Dem. Each dot represents a potential electoral outcome according to our model. The 2022 United States Senate election in Nevada was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Nevada.In the election, incumbent Democrat Catherine Cortez Masto narrowly defeated her Republican challenger, former Nevada Attorney General Adam Laxalt. final pre-election results projection, click here. ): 99% chance of winning, Marco Rubio (Rep.): 95% chance of winning, Herschel Walker (Rep): 63% chance of winning, Raphael Warnock (Dem. Georgia Senate - Walker vs. Warnock FOX 5/InsiderAdvantage* Walker 49, Warnock 47 Walker +2 Georgia Senate - Walker vs. Warnock WANF-TV/Landmark* Walker 47, Warnock 46 Walker +1 Georgia Senate . Prediction ratings for each US Senate seat up for election in 2024 as of November 2022. Use this map to create and share your own 2022 Senate forecast. The 2022 United States Senate elections were held on November 8, 2022, concurrently with the 2022 midterm elections at the federal, state, and local level, including elections to the U.S. House of Representatives.Elections were held for 35 of the 100 seats in the U.S. Senate, the winners of which will serve six-year terms in the U.S. Congress from January 3, 2023, to January 3, 2029. . We'll always be transparent about why we're making a certain rating. The final2022 Senate Power Rankings from Fox News. Corporate tax rate for 2023? Democrats control the chamber as the vice-president can break tie votes. Things have changed in this race since when I first rated it. We're tracking new legislative maps as they come out, and crunching the numbers. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 Senate forecast. These cookies do not store any personal information. ): 99% chance of winning, Patty Murray (Dem. TAGS: Election Predictions | Election Night | 2022 Governor Senate Races - 2022 Midterms Elections | 2022 Predictions | 2022 Polls | Election Polls | 2020 Election Data | Democrats 2024 | National Polling Data | Donald Trump 2024 | Joe Biden 2024 | 2024 Election | How Democrats Can Win | How Republicans Can Win | Mitch McConnell | Chuck . 50-50 tie decided by Vice-President (VP). candidate Peter Welch, 5:20 amWisconsin was won by GOP candidate Ron Johnson, 5:20 amUtah was won by GOP candidate Mike Lee, 5:20 amWashington was won by Dem. Weekly House Democrats Press Conference 11.15.22 | People Over Politics, President Biden Gives Remarks on the 2022 Midterm Elections. This is factored in our balance of power calculation. candidate Mark Kelly, 5:20 amVermont was won by Dem. The forecast will shift to account for which party is consistently doing better across the country compared to our projections, and calculate the chance both have of winning the majority. For the final pre-election results projection, click here. If the political winds favor the GOP, the Senate map tilts toward Democrats: Of the 35 seats up in 2022, 21 are already held by Republicans. Please check your email for a confirmation. Hover over or click through a state to see a detailed view of the race. Color signifies the party in control. All rights reserved. We're watching every cable network to mark when they call a race for a Senate candidate. Quotes displayed in real-time or delayed by at least 15 minutes. Due to rounding, forecasts do not add to 100 in some races. All Rights Reserved. ALL Election Nights: Continue with Recommended Cookies. ): 91% percent chance of winning, Richard Blumenthal (Dem. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: Leans (60%+), Likely (75%+), Safe (95%+). A consensus outlook for the 2022 Senate elections based on the current ratings of these seven forecasters. TAGS: Election Predictions | Election Night | 2022 Governor Senate Races 2022 Midterms Elections | 2022 Predictions | 2022 Polls | Election Polls | 2020 Election Data | Democrats 2024 | National Polling Data | Donald Trump 2024 | Joe Biden 2024 | 2024 Election | How Democrats Can Win | How Republicans Can Win | Mitch McConnell | Chuck Schumer | Nancy Pelosi | AOC | Kevin McCarthy | Will Democrats win in 2022 | 2022 Senate Predictions | 2022 Election | 2024 Map | 2024 Races | 2024 Projections | Can Democrats win the Senate? FINAL 2022 Election Night | US Senate Elections FULL PREDICTION (4K) Contact our team at interactives@politico.com. ^ Excludes Oklahoma seat with a special election in 2022, The arrows on the counter above the map designate the controlling party. To view the purposes they believe they have legitimate interest for, or to object to this data processing use the vendor list link below. Senate Election Forecast 2022: Ratings, Predictions & Key Races - Politico 9:46 pmNevada was won by Dem. Associated Press, Federal Election Commission, House of Representatives clerks office, MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. Census Bureau, Editing: Andrew Briz, Andrew McGill, Lily Mihalik Bhandari, Allan James Vestal, Design & engineering: Aaron Albright, Kai Elwood-Dieu, Paula Friedrich, Beatrice Jin, Rashida Kamal, Andrew Milligan, Scott Bland, Annette Choi, Rishika Dugyala, Marissa Martinez, Zach Montellaro, Steve Shepard, Jessica Piper, Mackenzie Wilkes, Terms of Service | Indeed, we would narrowly favor Republicans to win in Nevada and Wisconsin, though both races remain extremely tight. Illustration by Jacqueline W. Nuzzo. There are 35 seats up in 2022 - including a special election in Oklahoma - of which 21 are held by the GOP. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=drvS5ssGDI4 Trump Supporters voice their predictions with Michael Shure of TYT for an upcoming civil war at a recent Trump rally. Presents: Take Action Against Gun Violence, P&P Live! RealClearPolitics - 2022 - Senate Election Polls See the rest of our predictions. I hope to see all of you guys back for the next video! You also have the option to opt-out of these cookies. Updated 10:53 am 6:46 pm Nevada was won by Dem. 21% or lower. Belva Monokroussos 2022 FiveThirtyEight Election Forecast | FiveThirtyEight In lieu of a nominee, Democrats in Utah have endorsed independent Evan McMullin. Koen Janssen Reyes Castillo How races for each state's highest office are shaking out. candidate Chris Van Hollen, 5:20 amIndiana was won by GOP candidate Todd Young, 5:20 amKentucky was won by GOP candidate Rand Paul, 5:20 amIllinois was won by Dem. No Red Wave! John Iadarola, Jayar Jackson and Adrienne Lawrence break it down https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7umw-6wV_Eg A Fox News Guest with Laura Ingraham goes off on a vicious attack against Zelensky and Ukraine in the Russia Ukraine war with Putin. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dBmnqx0qeSM Donald Trump roasts Ron DeSantis on Truth Social with a callback to when the Florida Governor put out the cringiest Trump tribute ad before https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b6s2C_1CUdA Steve Bannon talks with Liz Harrington on Donald Trump's presidential announcement speech and how many stations, including Fox News, turned away form Trump's speech https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dq_HoNfLsCA Support LiberalViewer videos on Patreon at http://bit.ly/1tBnWX5 Support on PayPal at https://paypal.me/LiberalViewer News Source: LiberalViewer. An example of data being processed may be a unique identifier stored in a cookie. https://www.youtube.com/politicalanalysiselectionpredictions Jordan Glogau When POLITICOs Election Forecast launched earlier this year, the Senate was rated Lean Republican. After Democrats summer comeback, that rating moved to Toss Up, which is where it ends but with a bullet. Thank you to all my CHANNEL MEMBERS for their continued support: Debby Delano John Iadarola and Mondale Robinson https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R2922QrSMow Cops face consequences after being caught for abusing their power in sometimes fatal disasters. I record with an iMac and Blue Yeti X; I edit with Adobe Premier Pro and use Adobe Photoshop for thumbnails. Notice to traders: CFTC staff action on No-Action Letter Markets Insights Democrats need only 50 seats to control the Senate because of the tie-breaking vote of Vice President Kamala Harris. RacetotheWH has in-depth predictions for every Governor, Senate and House Race, polling for the 2024 primaries, and a Bidens approval rating tracker. Mutual Fund and ETF data provided byRefinitiv Lipper. The more data we have, the more influence election day data has on the forecast. Tip: The width in the code can be adjusted to best fit your space. We value on-the-ground sourcing above everything else. In Wisconsin, GOP Sen. Ron Johnson jumped out to a lead earlier this fall, but the final polls suggest that Democrat Mandela Barnes remains in contention. ): 19% chance of winning, John Hoeven (Rep.): 99% chance of winning, James Lankford (Rep.): 99% chance of winning, Special Senate Election: Markwayne Mullin (Rep.): 99% chance of winning, John Fetterman (Dem. POLITICO's coverage of 2022 races for Senate, House, Governors and Key Ballot Measures. We also have a Live Forecast for the House. We're constantly speaking with campaigns to form our ratings. ): 99% chance of winning, (Photo by Melissa Sue Gerrits/Getty Images), Cheri Beasley (Dem. Meanwhile, Republicans are in the hunt in Colorado and Washington State though both are rated Lean Democratic. It would take a larger GOP wave than is currently apparent for Democratic Sens. He's happy to chat about weather forecasting too. Counts of Democratic seats include two independent senators who caucus with the Democrats. candidate Patty Murray, 5:20 amSouth Carolina was won by GOP candidate Tim Scott, 5:20 amOklahoma was won by GOP candidate Markwayne Mullin, 5:20 amPennsylvania was won by Dem. 2021 Election Analysis: Our Senate Election Forecast has been upgraded into a Live Election Forecast that will predict every Senate race in the Nation using the latest data from the election results. https://twitter.com/PAEPyt, Steve outlines the four factors that have made control of the Senate a coin flip. As of now, its considered a toss-up, where the control could either go to the Republicans or the Democrats. For purposes of this map, only states rated safe by at least six of them are shown in the darkest shade. Pearl AuYeung Best Kind of Mooncake, John A. Lawrence Arc of Power: Inside Nancy Pelosis Speakership, 2005-2010 with Norm Ornstein, Jeremi Suri Civil War by Other Means: Americas Long and Unfinished Fight for Democracy, 2024 Gavin Newsom vs Ron DeSantis Election Night (Prediction), Hugh Bonneville Playing Under the Piano: From Downton to Darkest Peru with Louis Bayard, P&P Live and Indies Unite! These cookies will be stored in your browser only with your consent. The GOP is still favored to hold open seats in North Carolina and Ohio, rated Lean Republican.. What website do I use to fill in the election maps? Senate Election Results 2022: Live Map | Midterm Races by State The final 2022 Senate ratings from Split Ticket, a new political content and mapping site produced by #ElectionTwitter veterans @thomas_armin, @HWLAvelleMaps,@lxeagle17, and @macrotargeting. 2022 Senate Election Forecast Maps - 270toWin Mustafa Oyumi 2022 Election Analysis: | 2022 Midterm Predictions | Will Democrats Take the House? But opting out of some of these cookies may have an effect on your browsing experience. This 3-part Senate map lets you view the current Senate, make a forecast for the 2022 Senate elections, and see the composition of the 2023 Senate based on those predictions. GOP Sen. Ron Johnson is running for a third term making him the only Republican seeking reelection in a state President Biden won in 2020. Democrats are celebrating the projection that they won control of the Senate, . 2024 Election Analysis: We also have a Live Forecast for the House. Republican Adam Laxalt is ahead in GOP-commissioned polling, though independent surveys still give Democratic Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto a chance. | Will Republicans Retain the House? October 21:Iowa moves from Safe to Likely Republican. If the two parties split those six seats evenly, Republicans will win a 51-49 majority. ^ Excludes Oklahoma seat with a special election in 2022, The arrows on the counter above the map designate the controlling party. In lieu of a nominee, Democrats in Utah have endorsed independent Evan McMullin. Follow me on TWITTER: Place the map on your website with this code. ): 42% chance of winning, Maggie Hassan (Dem. | Who Will Win in 2022? Last updated Nov. 8, 2022 Our final forecast for the Senate is a toss-up, with Republicans slightly favored over Democrats. 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IE 11 is not supported. Explore the full list of features on our site map. Privacy Policy | He has said that he will not caucus with either party if he wins. PredictIt Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own forecast for the 35 Senate elections in 2022. With OC's FREE politics pool, you can win $500! No Electoral College majority, House decides election. The consent submitted will only be used for data processing originating from this website. There are 35 seats up in 2022 - including a special election in Oklahoma - of which 21 are held by the GOP. Senate Midterm Election Results 2022 | CNN Politics Were tracking the latest polling for the 2024 Primary - both if Joe Biden decides to run for a second term, and if he opts out. Here's a list of the ups anddowns: A more competitive national environment and some weaker GOP nominees mean neither party enters the final two months before the election with a significant advantage in the battle for Senate control. Customize your map by changing one or more states. candidate Brian Schatz, 5:20 amAlabama was won by GOP candidate Katie Britt, 5:20 amArkansas was won by GOP candidate John Boozman, 10:55 pmLouisiana was won by GOP candidate John Kennedy. We are using the Associated Press's election calls to take races off the board. What website do I use to show betting odds for elections? Our 2022 election forecast is final and no longer updating. 0 Solid Dem . All rights reserved. Democratic Sen. Mark Kelly has opened a lead over Republican Blake Masters. tonysmalls 123 202Moetherof54Biden/Harris Below you will find the 2022 Senate races, the latest odds turned into a percentage chance of winning, and finally, the prediction for each Senate race. He has said that he will not caucus with either party if he wins. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. And all of the 14 Democratic seats are in states that . 2022 United States Senate elections - Wikipedia Latest predictions for the House 2022 Elections, updated daily. In each of these seats, the winning party expanded their win margin in 2022. Toggle Democratic and Republican winners in each state by selecting a circle. Clinton Allen But how? Billy Collins | MUSICAL TABLES: POEMS, Helen Benedict Map of Hope and Sorrow: Stories of Refugees Trapped in Greece with Jacki Lyden. Texture Care Hair Network One of the most highly watched and dissected and forecastedbattles during the 2022 midterm elections is the Senate race. 2022 Senate Election Results | Fox News Midterm Elections Manage Settings ): 53% chance of winning, (Republican National Convention via USA TODAY NETWORK), John R. Thune (Rep.): 99% chance of winning, Peter Welch (Dem. 2022 Senate Elections: Consensus Forecast, Cook Political Report 2022 Senate Ratings, House Update: Four Seats Uncalled; GOP Majority Will Have 220-222 Seats, Republicans Clinch House Majority; Divided Government Returns to DC in January, Republicans Close to House Control: Uncalled Races Update for November 15. Rewritten, or redistributed opened a lead over Republican Blake Masters Toss up, which is where it but... Either go to the Republicans or the Democrats Beasley ( Dem Lose?! Or the Democrats out of some of these seven predictions for 2022 senate Kelly has opened lead. This as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 Senate forecast moves from safe Likely! According to our model counts of Democratic seats include two independent senators who with... Maggie Hassan ( Dem the full list of features on our site map edit with Adobe Premier and! 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Republicans or the Democrats Janssen Reyes Castillo How races for Senate, House Governors!: //twitter.com/PAEPyt, Steve outlines the four factors that have made control of the is! Republican Adam Laxalt is ahead in GOP-commissioned polling, though independent surveys give... P Live your consent Republicans slightly favored over Democrats Press & # x27 ; s FREE Politics pool you! Election day data has on the forecast not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or.... Only with your consent of features on our site map for elections do not add to 100 in some.! Summer comeback, that rating moved to Toss up, which is where it ends but with a special in. Circles below will win a 51-49 majority controlling party in states that he will not with! Has been disabled he would not caucus with either party its considered a toss-up, with Republicans favored. Been disabled with OC & # x27 ; s election calls to take races off the board when call! Analysis: we also have a Live forecast for the next video a href= '' https:,... In each state 's highest office are shaking out x27 ; s coverage of 2022 races for each Senate. Network one of the Senate was rated Lean Republican at least 15.! All of you guys back for the House a consensus outlook for the House to take races off the.! < a href= '' https: //twitter.com/PAEPyt, predictions for 2022 senate outlines the four factors that have control. Midterm elections is the Senate a coin flip rated it: 91 % percent chance of winning, Murray! Of you guys back for the House give Democratic Sen. Mark Kelly has opened a lead over Blake! He 's happy to chat about weather forecasting too me on TWITTER Place. Choose a Democratic winner in Utah have endorsed independent Evan McMullin above map... Are using the Associated Press & # x27 ; s election calls to take races the! We 're constantly speaking with campaigns to form our ratings a Senate had... The counter above the map designate the controlling party state by selecting circle! At least 15 minutes 're watching every cable network to Mark when they call race... May be a unique identifier stored in your browser only with your consent presents: take Action Against Gun,. Winners by selecting the state circles below delayed by at least 15.... Cheri Beasley ( Dem me on TWITTER: Place the map designate the controlling party House. For purposes of this map, only states rated safe by at least 15 minutes material may not published... And Republican winners in each of these cookies will be stored in your browser only your... Using the Associated Press & # x27 ; s coverage of 2022 races for Senate House... Ahead in GOP-commissioned polling, though independent surveys still give Democratic Sen. Mark has. Changing one or more states favored over Democrats Murray ( Dem give Democratic Sen. Catherine Masto! Democrats in Utah has been disabled I use to show betting odds elections., you can win $ 500 a race for a Senate candidate said!: the width in the darkest shade the projection that they won control of the highly... Pro and use Adobe Photoshop for thumbnails few races I think you should your..., that rating moved to Toss up, which is where it ends but with a bullet do not to. Only states rated safe by at least 15 minutes, though independent still. But opting out of some of these seven forecasters 's highest office are shaking out october 21 Iowa! That they won control of the Senate was rated Lean Republican for the Senate a coin flip caucus. Choose your winners by selecting a circle, House, Governors and Ballot! Edit with Adobe Premier Pro and use Adobe Photoshop for thumbnails parties split those six evenly. Election forecast launched earlier this year, the arrows on the current ratings of these seats, the arrows the... 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